I put together a list of the 55 Congressional districts to watch, especially the 32 key flipping opp

I put together a list of the 55 Congressional districts to watch, especially the 32 key flipping opportunities for Democrats in order to win a net +23 to win the House. The list is based on the Cook Political Report, the 25 GOP districts that Hillary Clinton won, and a review of the latest FiveThirtyEight chances from poll aggregation. The list is organized based on rough poll closing times (so mostly East-to-West). H/t Richard Kim
I started writing late last night when I was worried. And confirming that +23 was so realistic got me to sleep much better!

07/04/2019

7 T_COMMENT:
Nikki Horberg Decter
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
He'd-- ga-7 is fascinating. Tons of households never modeled for voter turnout. Tons of immigrants. It would be nice interesting to see if there are other southern districts like this where there has been rapid demographic change in the south
Jed Shugerman
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
After studying the numbers and early voting stats, I feel very good about a net +30. And the polling last night indicates the Senate is still possible (Missouri and Tennessee polling has rebounded for Dems), and Governors' races look solid, though Stacey Abrams has a lot of obstacles to overcome.]
Susan Solomon
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
Useful compilation. Thanks Jed Shugerman. I’m heading out now to GOTV for Casten. Let’s do this.
Jed Shugerman
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
Tom Kates Kate Silbaugh Elizabeth Karp Bitton Asaf Bitton Katherine Jamieson Andy Shugerman Harriet Shugerman Kimberly Herb Jennifer Taub Eric Michael Solomon Jenny Sherling Solomon Susan Solomon Sarah Buttenwieser Margaret Ellis Howard
Michelle Solomon
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
yeah, me neither. woke up at 3:30am, but at least that was 5 hours of sleep. took care of business finances. now i'm looking for election night viewing guides. In the past, I had found someone who broke down county by county the margins we're looking for. That was for a presidential of course. But have you seen anything like that?
Jed Shugerman
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
Nope
Michelle Solomon
15-11-2018, 02:45:11
Can’t sleep?

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